Thank You, Mr. Bogle
John C. Bogle died last week at the age of
89 years old.
At this late stage, I’m sure most anyone
reading this knows he founded Vanguard, one of the world’s largest asset
management firms. I would hope that everyone knows that he helped to invent the
index fund.
I had the pleasure of seeing him speak
several times over the past few years. I know Jack (as he preferred to be
called) was on his second heart, and that he was of failing health. His frailty
came through every time I heard him speak – his voice would falter or hesitate,
he had difficulty breathing, he moved slowly and with great effort.
But Jack Bogle’s mind was as sharp as ever.
In fact, one thing that struck me every
time I listened to him was how willing he was to accept questions and
criticisms – arguments against his belief in low-cost passive investing, for
example, which were more often than not easy for him to dismantle.
He even accepted – with good grace – that
he might have been wrong about one of his more infamous assertions: that a
typical investor receives sufficient international diversification by buying
the S&P 500 index, which represents the 500 largest American companies.
In fact, Jack Bogle was probably wrong
about that one. The S&P 500 is not an international index, though it is
comprised largely of huge multinational firms, it does not provide the kind of
diversification that an index of EAFE (developed market international) or
emerging market stocks would offer to the average portfolio.
His response to such challenges was almost
always along the lines of “I might have been wrong there, if you find a way
that works better, or works for you, then that’s a good thing.”
It would be nice, in this era of
divisiveness, if we could all be so gracious – and graceful.
But any attempt to fete Bogle has to start
and end with Vanguard, the index fund, and his commitment to low-cost
investing.
Just as a matter of coincidence, I’m
re-reading his “Little Book of Common Sense Investing” right now, and it’s as
convincing and eloquent an argument for simple, low-cost investing as Burton
Malkiel’s classic “A Random Walk Down Wall Street.”
Bogle’s chief messages were that, for all
investors, the growth of the economy is the engine that drives the growth of
wealth. Rather than try to find the parts of the economy that may grow a little
faster or better than others and get out before they slow down, investors could
chart a smoother course and easier ride by buying index funds that represent
the entire economy. Most investors failed because they traded too much, chasing
the performance of what was working at a particular time and switching
investments when their holdings no longer performed – which played into a
devastating “buy high, sell low” behavior that was destructive towards wealth
over the long term.
It’s worth pointing out that as inventor of
the index fund and founder of Vanguard, Bogle stood to profit from his advice,
but by and large he didn’t, and from most of the evidence, it doesn’t seem like
personal enrichment was part of his motivation. This is evidenced by his
arguments against frequent trading – by buying and holding an index fund, Bogle
and his company were not profiting off of commissions gained by trading, just
off of the expense ratios for their funds, which have always been kept at a
bare minimum. Vanguard’s mutual ownership (the investors in the funds literally
own the company) means that a windfall for Vanguard, or the discovery of some
new efficiency, typically leads to even lower costs for its investors, or a
higher return at the end of the year.
When I look around at the major asset
managers, I see a few great companies. I see a couple of well-intentioned good
companies. I see quite a few bad, potentially predatory companies. I don’t see
any company as virtuous as Vanguard right now (I have IRA assets at Vanguard
right now, in the name of full disclosure).
To be honest, for most people, investing
wouldn’t be feasible if it weren’t for Bogle. We’d be fighting over which of
the quality actively managed funds offered by companies like Fidelity (I am a
Fidelity customer also), American Funds, or T. Rowe Price offers the best bang for our buck. With the
widespread adoption of index funds, the argument is settled.
Bogle firmly believed that the best a
long-term investor can do is the market return, and that is why he advocated
for simplicity and a more passive approach to investing. He acknowledged that
over shorter periods, active managers may beat the market, but his primary
concern wasn’t short-term investors trying to make a quick buck.
Bogle was interested in the patient
investor whose goal was to build long-term wealth. In the 1970s when Vanguard
got its start, value-oriented investors were the long-term equity holders of
the era. Pensions took care of the average American’s retirement concerns. That
means that when he invented the index fund, Bogle was taking mutual funds to
where investors were heading, not playing to the fads and fashions of his time.
Bogle’s move not only presaged the rise of the 401(k), the ETF and the passive
investing movement, it also set the table for personal finance, self-directed
investing and financial independence community.
When his first index fund was launched,
many in the financial industry labeled it “Bogle’s folly.” Today, trillions of
assets have flowed into equity index mutual funds and ETFs, and passively
indexed products continue to dominate fund flows.
I can say that none of us in the personal
finance community would be here right now having these discussions in the way
that we have them if it weren’t for Jack Bogle. The man has helped to create
trillions of dollars in wealth, and he’s saved investors hundreds of billions
of dollars in fees.
Thank you Mr. Bogle. May you rest in peace.
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